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Value stocks are quietly outperforming growth

Value stocks are quietly outperforming growth

06/20/2025
Marcos Vinicius
Value stocks are quietly outperforming growth

As the dust settles on a tumultuous first half of 2025, investors are witnessing a remarkable shift in equity markets. After years of being overshadowed by the allure of rapid expansion, solid, cash-rich companies are once again capturing attention, delivering steady returns and renewed confidence.

This resurgence is not a fleeting phenomenon but a testament to the enduring power of consistent dividends and lower volatility. In this article, we explore the drivers behind this trend, its historical roots, practical strategies for navigating the cycle, and what investors can do today to harness this newfound momentum.

The changing landscape of equity performance

In 2025, international equities have surged ahead of U.S. stocks by 11%, while value stocks have outpaced growth within U.S. markets. Growth equities have stumbled, down 10% year-to-date, whereas value names have eked out a 2% gain. This inversion of fortunes stands in sharp contrast to the dominance of growth stocks over the past decade.

Investors, once enamored by the promise of AI-driven innovation and outsized future earnings, are now looking back at companies with stable, cash-generative income streams. The rotational shift away from big tech heavyweights such as Nvidia has fueled a renewed appetite for undervalued, mature firms.

Historical perspective: cycles of value and growth

Since 1927, U.S. value stocks have outperformed growth by an average of 4.4% per year, and when value leads, the premium can soar to nearly 15% in a single year. Over the past 20 years, value has led in 46% of months, illustrating the market’s alternating preferences over time.

Despite growth’s strong run—from back-to-back decades of double-digit annual returns to groundbreaking earnings reports—history reminds us that no leadership lasts forever. Periods of rising interest rates, economic uncertainty, or stretched valuations tend to favor the resilient, dividend-paying leaders of the value universe.

Long-term valuation comparison

Key drivers behind value’s resurgence

Several forces have converged to propel value stocks to the forefront in 2025:

  • Rotation out of big tech fueled by profit-taking and elevated P/E ratios.
  • Renewed merger and acquisition activity, boosting companies with stable cash flows.
  • Attractive valuations hinting at potential mean reversion to fair value.
  • Higher or stable interest rates making income-oriented stocks more appealing.

These factors reflect a broader sentiment shift. Investors are increasingly wary of lofty price tags attached to futuristic visions and are turning to businesses with tangible assets, clear cash generation, and proven resilience.

Practical strategies for investors

In light of this evolving backdrop, here are five actionable approaches to consider:

  • Diversify across value-focused funds and individual stocks with strong free cash flow profiles.
  • Monitor valuation spreads between value and growth to identify attractive entry points.
  • Allocate a portion of your portfolio to high-dividend-yield sectors such as financials, utilities, and consumer staples.
  • Consider laddering bond maturities alongside dividend-paying stocks for balanced income and growth.
  • Rebalance periodically to lock in gains from overperforming value positions and maintain risk targets.

These steps can help investors ride the current wave while keeping portfolios aligned with long-term goals.

Case studies: Berkshire Hathaway and Philip Morris International

Berkshire Hathaway, the archetype of value investing, has eclipsed the S&P 500 in 2025. Despite Warren Buffett’s impending retirement announcement, the company’s focus on disciplined capital allocation and diversified holdings continues to bear fruit.

Philip Morris International provides another compelling example. Riding the success of Zyn nicotine pouches, PMI has delivered robust returns, illustrating how innovative product lines within stable businesses can drive value creation.

Looking ahead: balancing potential and risk

While value’s momentum is striking, investors must remain mindful of the broader context. The past decade’s growth leadership was underpinned by secular trends in technology and digital transformation. Any premature exit from growth could mean missing the next wave of innovation.

Therefore, a balanced approach—recognizing the cyclical nature of style investing—is essential. Allocate dynamically based on valuation signals, economic indicators, and personal risk tolerance.

Conclusion: embracing diversity in your portfolio

The quiet resurgence of value stocks in 2025 underscores the importance of patience, discipline, and historical perspective. Markets ebb and flow, and the pendulum between growth and value swings with economic tides.

By integrating both styles—leveraging growth’s upside potential and value’s stability—investors can position themselves for a more resilient journey. Embrace the lessons of past cycles, stay alert to changing market dynamics, and cultivate well-rounded, diversified portfolios designed to thrive across all seasons.

Marcos Vinicius

About the Author: Marcos Vinicius

Marcos Vinicius